Showing posts with label edmonton real estate investing outlook. Show all posts
Showing posts with label edmonton real estate investing outlook. Show all posts

Thursday, March 15, 2012

Echo Boom

Alberta Oil Sands Investment Real Estate News®
Glenn Simon Inc., Suite 1217, 5328 Calgary Trail NW, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. Tel 1-888-780-5940 Fax 1-888-276-4517
www.glennsimoninc.com email: info@glennsimoninc.com


March 15th., 2012
Volume 12, Issue 2

Dear Friends and Partners,

As the economy heats up in Alberta you can see more and more help wanted signs popping up along the roadsides, in store windows and even blinking brightly on electronic signs. This reminds me of those heady 2005 days when the economy began to heat up. We notice a spike in hits to the rental site ads we post too. These indicators confirm that we are shedding the dirty cloak of recession and stepping anew into another upward cycle.

Edmonton and Calgary tie for the lowest unemployment rates in Canada. Edmonton is also rated as the most affordable place to live in Canada, based on salary and home prices, at 33.2% according to RBC's Affordability Index. Calgary rates second at 37.6%. In case you're wondering... Vancouver is the most unaffordable with 90.6% of income going to support living costs.

An interesting twist to this heated economy that I notice is the characteristics of younger Millennial workers, often referred to as Gen-Ys: there seems to be a feeling of working less, committing less to the job in order to have more personal time. The monetary gain is outweighed by the desire to claim their own time away from work. Some may argue that a Millennial worker uses technology to manage his job more efficiently, thus reducing the need to work extra hours, but that can't be said for everyone belonging the the group. Another interesting trait from an employer perspective is the lack of filter in this generation that manifests in 'over-sharing'.

With Alberta requiring 132,900 new, full time jobs over the next two years, it will be interesting to see how our market place learns, grows and adapts to these new workers. Somewhere, between a baby boomer and a millennial lies a great balance of work ethic and home time. The future is bright.

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South West Edmonton: Cash-flowing Two-Suiter in Queen Alexandra
Turbo charge your portfolio. Upgraded 1948 built legal 2-plex with separate entrance to lower suite. 2 stylishly finished suites; 1345 sqft upper 4 bedroom unit with beautiful laminate, plus a spacious 2 bedroom 900 sqft. suite down. The upper suite has newer windows, electric fireplace, fresh paint and appliances. There is a common laundry room in basement too. The lower unit has new paint, windows, insulation and some newer appliances. Lower suite walks out to a shared fenced yard. There is a 2 car detached garage with automatic door and opener, bringing in additional revenue. 5 minutes to U.O.A., 20 mins to NAIT, Grant MacEwan and Downtown. Fast access to the Whitemud, Whyte Ave. and on the bus routes. These pictures show the detail and care that went into building this quality home.

Comes complete with great tenants making this a totally turn-key property for you. Convenient South West area with easy access to transit and downtown. Excellent established neighborhood featuring many heritage homes; solid value and stable rents. HUGE upside potential due to the great purchase price, strong economic fundamentals and the proximity of this home in relation to Edmonton's trendy University area.

Produces $242 positive cash flow per month using an investor's mortgage plan - taking advantage of current low rates.


Purchase price: $350K Total Investment: $82.3K. Your Estimated 5 Year Profit $42.4K. Your pre-tax Total ROI is 51% or 10.2% per year + $242 Cash Flow in Your Pocket Every Month

Poised for massive growth. These 2 suites rent for top dollar and have everything arranged, including financing structure and incredible tenants. Your investment includes: impeccable tenant selection, financial analysis, professional inspection, insurance, financing set-up, legal fees, basic accounting, reserve fund, CMA, bi-annual statements, strategic market planning to ensure successful entry and exit, plus much more!


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No Thaw In Sight For Rate Freeze
One percent rate in effect since September 2010 likely to last into 2013

By Louise Egan and Randall Palmer, Reuters. March 9th, 2012

The Bank of Canada issued a more upbeat outlook for the Canadian and global economies Thursday, suggesting that an interest rate hike may be back on its radar screen, albeit not immediately.

The central bank maintained its overnight lending rate target at one per cent, mirroring decisions by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England and extending its freeze on borrowing costs for an 18th month.

In a statement, it said the Canadian economic outlook was "marginally improved," uncertainty around the global economy had eased and the profile for inflation was somewhat firmer than it had foreseen.

READ MORE HERE


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As Oilsands Activity Heats Up, Alberta Employers Brace For Soaring Costs, Worker Shortages

By Gary Lamphier, Edmonton Journal, March 7th, 2012

EDMONTON - Three years after global energy prices tanked, Alberta’s oilsands are booming once again.
But industry players say they’re already bracing for what they fear lies ahead: chronic labour shortages and soaring cost pressures, two factors that caused so much havoc during the last boom.

As 2012 began, the number of workers employed in the province was already five per cent above its pre-recession high, the Conference Board of Canada says, handily outstripping the national growth rate.

Over the next two years, the board predicts Alberta will create 132,900 net new jobs — or about 40,000 more people than the entire population of Red Deer — cutting the province’s unemployment rate to 4.5 per cent by 2013. That’s just one per cent above the pre-recession lows of 2007. GRAB THIS STORY

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Underused Labour Pools Would Buoy Alberta Economy

By Bill Mah, Edmonton Journal. March 7th 2012

EDMONTON - Whether you have a job in Alberta depends so much on who you are.
Despite government and industry raising the alarm on a looming skills shortage that some employers say is already here, some groups of potential workers remain largely untapped, even as the jobless rate shrinks.

In Edmonton, the unemployment rate in January was five per cent, continuing its steady recovery from the last recession.

Drive south for about an hour to Hobbema, and the rate rockets to more than 50 per cent.

“More than half of our people aren’t working,” says Allison Adams, who runs the Maskwacis Employment Centre in the First Nations community that has a population of about 12,000 and a potential labour force of more than 5,000. FOLLOW THIS ARTICLE

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I appreciate all your calls and emails. I'm looking forward to helping you with your next step towards building real wealth.

Your success continues EVERYDAY, let me help you build for tomorrow.

"The gem cannot be polished without friction, nor man perfected without trials." -Chinese proverb

Warm Regards,

Todd and Danielle Millar


===SPECIAL NOTICE: NO CASH, BUT GOOD CREDIT? CALL US TODAY TO LEARN HOW YOU CAN OWN INVESTMENT PROPERTY===

P.S. Stay ahead by checking out Danielle's blog at Edmonton Real Estate Investor for all your cutting edge market news and information.

P.P.S. Don’t forget to visit our website and take advantage of the Resource Tools and product section including REIN's #1 real estate books and Quick Start homestudy sets at a discount. Get your copy of the Canadian Success Stories book and the 2011 Top Ten Investment Towns of Alberta and Ontario.








Monday, March 01, 2010

What do you meme?

Fourteen Golds and seventeen days later, the Olympics have come to a close. We watched many great performances and got a peek inside the lives of some of the world's greatest sports champions and their moment(s) of fame. I'm not a huge sports fan, but I find it exhilarating to see the athlete's expressions as they win or don't do as well as expected.

Their faces show a lot in those few raw seconds of evaluation. Some look crushed, regain composure, and then a look of determination spreads over them as you can almost see the wheels turn as they begin to build their next attempt at success.
I especially like watching the athletes that are really satisfied with their performance even if their score didn't place them in the top three. The coaches expressions are priceless as well; it must bring a feeling of great triumph to see the person you coached for so long and so hard finally win.

To segue into Danielle's recent blog post on memes, I wonder what the memes in us are that stop us from becoming an Olympic Gold Medalist or an investor as savvy as Warren Buffet? It is powerful to think that our memes are so flexible as to create a new blueprint as soon as we are exposed to them. Sadly, the wrong memes can create an equally powerful result.

I appreciate all your calls and emails. I'm looking forward to helping you with your next step towards building real wealth.

"I am building a fire, and everyday I train, I add more fuel. At just the right moment, I light the match." -Mia Hamm American football player, 2004 Olympics

Kind Regards,

Todd and Danielle Millar

Friday, December 04, 2009

Wealthy people know where to put their money.


Real estate.

According to a Nu Wire Investor article that's the plan for those with more than $800,000 to invest.

"The prospect of strong returns in bargain real estate is driving interest, especially among the wealthiest, who are predicted to boost allocations in property to 30 percent — with portfolios of over 50 percent property holdings not uncommon. While the majority of investors see the expense of financing as a deterrent, property's perceived potential is edging out stocks and bonds. Among locations, the US residential real estate market is a top pick for investment. See the following article from Property Wire for more on this."

It's not surprising as many are really worried about were to put their money. Especially after have about 10 years of saving disappear over the last few years. One thing about real estate is it's tangible, insured and worst comes to worst you can live in it.

"Investors from Canada and the Gulf region were the most likely to increase their property allocations, with an average increase of 4% being put into real estate."

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

It's an Economic Speed Bump

The Conference Board of Canada says Edmonton's economy will shrink by 0.2% in 2009 the first decline in 20 years.

However, there is nothing to be alarmed about we are coming from some very hot times and the city needed a little cooling break. It's not a slump its a bump. A tiny bump.

"Some correction was required. The housing market was spectacularly hot, coming back down to more normal levels of activity if we want to call it that." "It's certainly not something I'd call a catastrophe, and we're going to look back on it in a few years can call it a pause, after a very strong period." Mario Lefebvre director of municipal studies for the conference board

The city will still see in-migration of close to 10,000 new residents, the economy will grow and the real estate market is going to see healthy normal activity from 2010.

So what do we have now? Time to refinance. Time to purchase properties that make cash flow. If you aren't purchasing then it's time to strengthen your portfolio and keep large reserves of cash.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Close Your Eyes and It will Pass

Alberta's oil sands projects are taking a break. For now.

When we think of this break we have to think long term the next two to three years will be slow.
Peoples views of short and long term cycles differ i.e 2-3 months, 10 to 20 years. A great way to get terrified is to think day to day and follow the media.

"On the horizon, and not too far out on the horizon, we do see that demand coming back, and we need to use this time to prepare for it. I think business and government are working in that direction, but it is early going; the financial crisis only hit a short time ago," Art Meyer, senior vice-president for oilsands projects Enbridge.

Basic fact is the need for oil won't go away, contrarily, it will increase dramatically, while the production of conventional oil is decreasing. That leaves the unconventional oil sands which the world is looking at to meet the estimated 45 billion barrels a day shortage that is looming in the future.

We need to make the oil-sands cleaner to be more appealing, the technology is there. Cleaning is crucial and in turn will slowly push up the amount of jobs in the area. This means more housing needs which means a return to positive increases in housing prices.

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Already November

I can't believe how quickly this year has gone. It seems incredible there are only two months left to Christmas and that 2008 has for the most part over. What an incredible year with all the ups and downs of the markets both in real estate and stocks.

If you were hoping to get into the real estate market this year but still haven't had a chance to take action or just don't know where the market is going (reading the newspapers would make anyone afraid to do anything), there still is time to at least learn about the market and reduce the fear that seems to permeate the market recently.

REIN Alberta is holding Quickstart Canadian specific real estate training program in Edmonton November 7th and 8th.

"Yes, today’s real estate market has changed dramatically, especially when you compare it to 2006 and 2007. Housing starts are down, listings are up, prices are flat (and have even dropped in some regions). Do you sell? Do you buy? Do you just stay on the sidelines? … all legitimate questions. For investors and homeowners who are making the 2nd most common mistake… there are more questions than there are answers. Those who are not making the mistake are enjoying tremendous strength in their investments, despite the turmoil… and you can too." Reserve your spot now

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Long Term Is Best

Every Google alert I got today was about "spiraling" house prices or the Canadian real estate market hitting the brakes. After scanning quite a few they all boiled down to a 5% drop in housing prices in Alberta, leveling in Vancouver and Ottawa saying no to 40 year mortgages.

Vancouver was bubbly for a long time with the never ending condo market and the incredible lack of affordability, Ottawa and Ontario are suffering high dollar blues and Alberta is leveling out after an incredible increase that threatened to erode affordability.

If you own a home and aren't trying to sell then no problem, if you own investment property then keep it rented and make sure it's covering the bills. However, if you are trying to sell now then you have some pretty bad timing! Why not wait a year, try and make your property cash flow then put it on the market??

Thursday, June 26, 2008

This Sounds Useful

Two U of A graduate's real estate trending software may help in your buying decision.

"The entrepreneurs unveiled Wednesday the latest version of their Internet-based real estate program, RealPageMaker 3, that gives prospective buyers a bird's-eye view of listings plotted on a Google map of a city block or neighbourhood. The program will be available for Calgary and Vancouver.

The software also pulls a snapshot of real estate trends for that block or neighbourhood using real-time statistics."

READ FULL ARTICLE

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Getting Shaken Up - $1 Dollar Assumable


Even in a market with strong economic fundamentals there are plateaus. If you are aware when these plateaus come they won't alarm you, in fact you welcome them because they create excellent buying opportunities. In Edmonton we have gone from extreme seller's market to a strong buyer's market.

I found a property that can be assumed with qualifying in Edmonton the other day. I like this for 2 reasons:

1. It's good marketing. It will attract buyers out of curiosity just like you - who will click here to see what it is about.

2. It shows there are a lot of motivated sellers out there. I don't know the motivation for this seller and I hope it is not due to any misfortune. However, deals like this show there are many motivated sellers:

- people got stuck trying to flip a house in last year's market
- investors who got scared because they think the market will crash/ is crashing
- short-term investors who can't weather out the plateau


This specific deal doesn't fit our criteria (assumables are getting tougher and tougher to qualify for) but there are many more out there like this. With a little determination you can pick up some incredible deals now.

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Edmonton Housing Market - Balance Shifts

As we all have seen, the Edmonton housing market went from a frenzy of multiple offers to large amount of product sitting on the market. The shift in the market leaves sellers having to reduce their listing price or offer buyer bait in the form of assumables.

CREA's third quarter report puts Edmonton at a middle ground between a buyer's and seller's market. With increased listings on the market at 21% to 41% higher than last year buyers are taking their time before purchasing.

“I think it's quite remarkable how quickly those markets have shifted from sellers' to balanced. This is a good thing. I believe buyers will take their time and shop around, and that should take some of the steam out of price increases,” said Gregory Klump, chief economist at CREA.

Read Full Article Here

Thursday, October 11, 2007

From Comment To Post

I got this comment on my blog a few days ago.

"....That aside, I don't know how you can suggest that Edmonton is going to have massive price increases. Considering there is already loads of inventory, concerns about low gas prices, lack of affordability, wages have not kept up with house price increase, rent vs. buy economics are in favour of renting and brutal investor rental property P/E ratios. Really, why should someone buy? Come on and quit lying to us about further price increases.

By the way, Calgary house prices have NOT lifted out of a plateau. They have declined for past three months losing about $33,000 from their peak. Stats are at www.bobtruman.com

This is more like 1984 than 2004 with real estate agents STILL claiming massive price gains. The economic climate has changed as mentioned in my previous post. So quit equivocating what happened in 2004 to what is going to happen in the next year."
Dustin



I think it is a common question/fear people have. My reply turned into a 4 page simple outlook of the Edmonton and Calgary's real estate markets and Alberta's economy.

Hello Dustin,

Thanks for sharing. In summary what I'd say is that, without a doubt the Edmonton and Calgary markets will continue to rise steadily overall in the next 5 years plus. Yes, there may be months when the prices dip and months when they climb quickly up. A healthy market has these peaks and valleys.

Look at the graph for Calgary below, it's not a straight line up... nor is it a straight line down. With over $173B+ of projects already underway or committed for the next decade- you bet the growth will continue, Alberta has a population of only has 3.4 Million people and the highest growth rate, youngest population in Canada. Did you know that Alberta is estimated to grow by 80,000 people per year for the next decade?

Check out this link at the UOA regarding population.

http://www.uofaweb.ualberta.ca/govrel/news.cfm?story=57892

Are people leaving Alberta for sunnier shores? Yes, well you got me there... A whopping 800 people left Alberta for Saskatchewan this year. (At least those Saskatchewan billboards paid off)

The housing market it strong and that strength is based on the economy: the long-term view of it.

Alberta Job & Economic Fundamentals Updates:

The construction jobs are a coming!
The forecast for construction jobs in 2010 for proposed capital projects are 37,000.
Current project construction jobs now are at approximately 17,000. This is an increase of more than
100%, over the next 3- 5 years, and currently the Alberta labor market is already the tightest in Canada.
This is a good indication of the housing demand, as more people are coming to Alberta for work. Each
of these people will require a place to live and rent.
To top things off Alberta still has the lowest unemployment rate in the country.

Alberta Industrial Heartland:

o Alberta has the 2nd highest reserves of recoverable oil in the world.
o Currently $173 Billion of capital projects are scheduled for Alberta.
o The proposed peak expenditure is scheduled for 2010 – 2012, and this timeline is potentially moving
out further, due to the current shortages of labor.
o Pipeline and Oil upgrader projects are numerous and will attract multi billion dollar investments.
o Currently there are at least 7 oil upgraders proposed on the books and each one of these is forecasted
to have at least 3,000 – 5,000 jobs. To put this in perspective, building the Hoover Dam in Nevada
required approximately 4,500 construction jobs. Currently there are over 7 ‘Hoover Dam sized’
projects forecasted to be built just outside of Edmonton.

US Subprime Mortgage Collapse

In the news you have been hearing a lot about the US sub-prime mortgage collapse and how that is affecting
the stock market.

Comparing the US and Canada mortgage markets are like comparing apples to oranges, for
example:

US- sub-prime (high risk) market represents over 20% of all mortgages.
US- interest only mortgages (high risk)are a high percent of subprime mortgages.
Canada’s Subprime mortgages are still below 4% of all mortgages.
Canada’s interest only mortgages are below 2% of total mortgages.

All of these economic fundamentals (just a few of many I could have included) indicate that people
are coming to Alberta and the fundamentals are all pointing towards strong long term demand for
Real Estate.


Hope this helps!


Calgary Real Estate Market Overview

INVENTORY HITS HIGHEST NUMBER FOR 2007

Calgary’s total MLS® month end inventory for the month of August 2007 was 9,634, showing the highest level recorded this year, according to figures released by the Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB®).

Single family Calgary metro new listings added for the month of August totaled, 2,837, a 9.75 per cent increase over the 2,585 new listings added in August 2006. This is an increase of 11.34 per cent over the 2,548 new listings added in July 2007.

Single family Calgary metro properties changing hands in August were 1,314, a decrease of 2.01 per cent from the 1,341 recorded in August 2006 and a decrease of 12.10 per cent from the 1,495 sales recorded last month.

The median price of a single family Calgary metro home in August 2007 was $430,000 showing an 11.40 per cent increase over August 2006, when the median price was $386,000 and showing a 1.15 per cent decrease from last month when the median price was $435,000. All Calgary Metro MLS® statistics include properties listed and sold only within Calgary’s City limits.

The Calgary metro condominium market showed a slight decline in August with new listings added totaling 1,186, an increase of 22.65 per cent from August 2006, when the new listings added were 967. This is a 6.18 per cent increase from last month when new listings added were 1,117. Calgary metro condominium sales in August 2007 were 598; a decrease of 11.93 per cent from August 2006, when the sales were recorded as 679 and a 0.83 per cent decrease form last month’s sales of 603.

“Our inventory has remained high through August; however, total MLS® sales have stayed fairly constant with a drop of only 4.2% from July. The market has shifted slightly to out of town properties and although the average sale price of single family homes in Calgary has dropped by about 3.9% from July, the median price has eased only 1.1% from July. Together it’s an excellent market for buyers and sellers, with sellers getting good prices for their homes and buyers having an excellent selection to choose from”, says Ron Stanners, President of the Calgary Real Estate Board.

The average price of a single family Calgary metro home in August 2007 was $485,914, and the average price of a metro condominium was $320,790. Average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differentials between geographical areas.









Source: Calgary Real Estate Board

Calgary real estate price increases:

Average Calgary Real Estate Prices for last 13 months




Average Calgary Real Estate Yearly Prices for 1985 to 2007 YTD



Please note - statistics reporting changed in May 2007 - comparing present data to data from before May 2007 is not accurate for the 2 graphs directly above.